Welcome to Francis Academic Press

Academic Journal of Engineering and Technology Science, 2026, 9(2); doi: 10.25236/AJETS.2026.090218.

Analysis of the Relationship between Highway Tunnel Traffic Volume and Traffic Accidents—An Empirical Study Based on Multi-Regional Tunnel Operation Data

Author(s)

Zhang Yi

Corresponding Author:
Zhang Yi
Affiliation(s)

China Merchants Chongqing Testing Center for Highway Engineering Co., Ltd., Chongqing, 401147, China

Abstract

To meet the systematic assessment needs for highway tunnel traffic accident risks, this study has constructed a tunnel safety risk assessment system based on the Likelihood-Consequence (LC) method. By integrating operational data on "people, management, design, and environment" from tunnels across multiple regions, a multidimensional assessment framework encompassing static, quasi-dynamic, and dynamic indicators has been established. This model has been applied to empirical analysis of three typical national highway tunnels in Yunnan, Jiangsu, and Hunan. The results indicate significant differences in risk characteristics among different tunnels. The model achieves an accuracy rate of 85.7%, effectively identifying key risk sources such as road surface skid resistance and speeding behavior. This study has achieved a scientific assessment of tunnel risks from qualitative to quantitative levels, providing a decision-making basis for precise safety management. It also offers insights into the construction of smart tunnels and the intelligentization of risk assessment.

Keywords

highway tunnel; Traffic safety; Risk assessment; LC method; Indicator system

Cite This Paper

Zhang Yi. Analysis of the Relationship between Highway Tunnel Traffic Volume and Traffic Accidents—An Empirical Study Based on Multi-Regional Tunnel Operation Data. Academic Journal of Engineering and Technology Science (2026), Vol. 9, Issue 2: 131-135. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJETS.2026.090218.

References

[1] Mei Jialin, Du Zhigang, Qian Zhihao, et al. A Review of Design and Evaluation of Visual Guidance Facilities in Highway Tunnels[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025,35(10):124-130. 

[2] Tao Wensheng, Yang Zhe. Empirical Analysis of Traffic Accident Characteristics for Different Pavement Materials in Expressway Tunnels Based on Big Data[J]. Construction & Design for Engineering, 2025,(19):69-71. 

[3] Li Zhanke, Li Wanzhi, Wang Yanning, et al. A Review of Traffic Sound Field Prediction and Optimization in Highway Tunnels[J]. Tianjin Construction Science and Technology, 2025,35(06):1-5+52.

[4] Wang Fuxin, Pang Ruying, Tong Xin. Reliability Study of Tool Magazine System Manipulator Based on BN and T-S Fuzzy Fault Tree[J]. Machine Design and Manufacturing Engineering, 2025,54(12):97-102.  

[5] Ran Jin, Li Meiling, Li Zihui, et al. A Review of Road Traffic Safety Risk Research[J]. Highways & Automotive Applications, 2025,41(06):22-29. 

[6] Li Yanwei. Effect of Anti-Rutting Agent on Road Performance of Colored Asphalt Mixture[J]. Urban Roads Bridges & Flood Control, 2025,(11):292-296+320.

[7] Su Donghua, Zhang Fan, Sun Wenyao. Research on Urban Tunnel Traffic Accident Prediction and Optimization Model for Improvement Measures Selection[J]. Traffic & Transportation, 2025,38(S2):1-7.