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Academic Journal of Business & Management, 2023, 5(7); doi: 10.25236/AJBM.2023.050721.

Research on Inner Mongolia freight volume forecast model based on computable general equilibrium


Linlin Zhao, Zhu Wen

Corresponding Author:
Linlin Zhao

School of Economics and Management, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, 010051, China


Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is a big province of energy, variety complete and reserve sufficient. However, with the continuous growth of energy freight volume, the imbalance of energy freight varieties and the unreasonable structure of energy industry in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region are becoming more and more serious. The energy SAM table was compiled based on the latest official input-output table of Inner Mongolia, and the CGE model of regional energy freight volume and GAMS program were constructed to simulate and predict the total energy freight volume of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region in 2025-2035. The results show that the average accuracy of the prediction model is 2.27% according to the error terms between the prediction results and the actual results. The conclusions can provide reference for stabilizing economic growth, developing regional green logistics and strengthening technological innovation and transformation.


CGE models; Energy; Cargo volume forecast; Green development

Cite This Paper

Linlin Zhao, Zhu Wen. Research on Inner Mongolia freight volume forecast model based on computable general equilibrium. Academic Journal of Business & Management (2023) Vol. 5, Issue 7: 141-149. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJBM.2023.050721.


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