The construction of marine ecological civilization is an aspect that cannot be ignored in the development of the marine economy. It involves many issues such as social stability, economic development, technological progress, and environmental governance. During the "13th Five-Year Plan" period, Guangdong Province has made breakthrough progress in building a strong marine province by essentially establishing a demonstration area for strengthening the construction of marine ecological civilization. During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, Guangdong Province still needs to vigorously promote the construction of marine ecological civilization. This article starts from the aspects of social population, economic development, technological progress, and environmental governance, and constructs a system dynamics model of Guangdong Province's marine ecological civilization. It simulates the construction of Guangdong Province's marine ecological civilization under six different policy scenarios in three categories. The results show that: (1) Maintaining the existing development policy will further improve the level of marine ecological civilization in Guangdong Province.(2) Under a single policy enhancement, the economic policy has the most significant overall promotion effect on the construction of ecological civilization in Guangdong Province, and the birth policy brings The promotion is very limited.(3) Under the combination of policies, although all policy impact factors have only been slightly improved, the synergy between different policies has greatly promoted the construction of marine ecological civilization, further verifying the important significance of development coordination.

Kaijun Hu, Jianhua Xiao. A Study on Policy Simulation and Emulation for the Construction of Marine Ecological Civilization in Guangdong Province Based on System Dynamics. International Journal of Frontiers in Sociology (2023), Vol. 5, Issue 7: 134-143. https://doi.org/10.25236/IJFS.2023.050722.

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