Sustainable development involves economy, energy, environment and technology, which intertwine with each other in complicated ways. To achieve sustainable development, it is imperative to study the coordinated development of the four. In this paper, a system dynamics model is constructed to reflect interaction between the economy, energy, environment, and technology by using the data in Sichuan Province between 2010 and 2020. Then five scenarios (current situation, economy development priority, energy development priority, environment protection priority, technology innovation priority) are set up and simulated. Finally, different scenarios are evaluated using the coupling coordination degree model. The results indicate that: in the short term, the system is more coordinated under environment protection priority scenarios; while in the long term, the energy development priority scenario can better achieve the coordinated development. The paper provides recommendations to formulate effective measures and promote sustainable development in Sichuan province.

Runli Xiong. Multi-Scenario Forecast of Sustainable Development in Sichuan of China Based on Coupling Evolution Analysis. Academic Journal of Business & Management (2023) Vol. 5, Issue 23: 212-218. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJBM.2023.052329.

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