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Academic Journal of Business & Management, 2022, 4(8); doi: 10.25236/AJBM.2022.040804.

Research on the Development of Tourism Industry in the Post-Epidemic Period——Analysis Based on Multiple Regression Model GM(2,1) Model


Xin Jin1, Youzhe Wang2, Jian Luo1, Qunli Sun1

Corresponding Author:
Youzhe Wang

1School of Finance and Taxation, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, 430073, China

2Business School, Guilin University of Electronic Science and Technology, Guilin, 541010, China


The outbreak of the new crown epidemic has had a serious impact on the development of the tourism industry. Although the development of the tourism industry has recovered in the post-epidemic period, some people still have concerns about the development prospects of the tourism industry. This paper uses the multiple regression model and the GM (2,1) model for analysis. The basic indicators of the tourism industry include: tourism foreign exchange income, domestic tourism number, domestic tourism revenue, domestic travel agency number, domestic tourism agency employment, domestic tourism industry. The number of colleges and universities and the number of foreign inbound tourists. Quantitative analysis of tourism "fundamentals" by means of descriptive statistics. Then, the mathematical models of the "fundamentals" of the tourism industry are respectively constructed, and then the GM(2,1) model is used to predict the development of the "fundamentals" in the next three years , and relevant conclusions and suggestions are put forward.


post-epidemic period; tourism industry; multiple regression model; GM (2.1) model

Cite This Paper

Xin Jin, Youzhe Wang, Jian Luo, Qunli Sun. Research on the Development of Tourism Industry in the Post-Epidemic Period——Analysis Based on Multiple Regression Model GM(2,1) Model. Academic Journal of Business & Management (2022) Vol. 4, Issue 8: 27-36. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJBM.2022.040804.


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