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Academic Journal of Computing & Information Science, 2023, 6(1); doi: 10.25236/AJCIS.2023.060103.

Research on Multivariate Futures Price Forecasting Based on IMAT-LSTM Model

Author(s)

Wei Wei

Corresponding Author:
Wei Wei
Affiliation(s)

School of Information Science and Engineering, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing, 400041, China

Abstract

The study of futures price forecasting is of great significance to society and enterprises. The time series characteristics of futures prices are difficult to capture because of their non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics. This paper proposes an IMAT-LSTM model, which allocates the weight of the multivariable characteristics of futures prices through an improved attention mechanism, and comprehensively compares the prediction performance with LSTM and traditional AT-LSTM models to verify the effectiveness of the model proposed in this paper in futures price prediction. The performance of the model proposed in this paper is evaluated by fitting degree indicators (MAE, RMSE, R^2). The results show that, compared with LSTM and AT-LSTM models, the fitting accuracy of the proposed model is improved by 40.31% compared with the traditional LSTM model.

Keywords

Attention; LSTM; Futures price forecast; Hybrid model

Cite This Paper

Wei Wei. Research on Multivariate Futures Price Forecasting Based on IMAT-LSTM Model. Academic Journal of Computing & Information Science (2023), Vol. 6, Issue 1: 14-18. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJCIS.2023.060103.

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