Welcome to Francis Academic Press

Academic Journal of Business & Management, 2026, 8(1); doi: 10.25236/AJBM.2026.080107.

Supply Chain Risk Identification and Strategic Responses in Large Listed Manufacturing Firms under Extreme Weather Shocks

Author(s)

Shao Yingcheng

Corresponding Author:
Shao Yingcheng
Affiliation(s)

School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai, China

Abstract

With the intensification of global climate change, both the frequency and severity of extreme weather events have continued to increase over the past decade, causing increasingly complex disruptions to manufacturing supply chains. These disruptions are marked by long transmission chains, rapid propagation, and broad impact, making extreme weather a major source of systemic risk for manufacturing firms. This study selects manufacturing firms included in the S&P 500 Index from 2011 to 2025 as the research sample. A total of 584 news articles were collected through combined searches of firm names and supply chain–related keywords, along with 155 corresponding Corporate Earnings Call transcripts. Using the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model, semantic topics are extracted to uncover the specific mechanisms through which extreme weather affects supply chains. The results identify six major risk patterns: energy supply disruption risk, core component shortage risk, raw material supply and price volatility risk, concentration risk in global manufacturing networks, regional energy hub failure risk, and production capacity disruption risk in vehicle and large-scale manufacturing. From a systemic perspective, the study illustrates the transmission structure of climate-related supply chain risks in manufacturing and provides theoretical insights and empirical evidence for enhancing manufacturing resilience, optimizing regional supply strategies, and informing policy design.

Keywords

Manufacturing Enterprises; Supply Chain Risk; Latent Dirichlet Allocation

Cite This Paper

Shao Yingcheng. Supply Chain Risk Identification and Strategic Responses in Large Listed Manufacturing Firms under Extreme Weather Shocks. Academic Journal of Business & Management (2026), Vol. 8, Issue 1: 49-53. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJBM.2026.080107.

References

[1] Pandey, S. , Singh, R. K. , & Gunasekaran, A. (2023). Supply chain risks in industry 4.0 environment: review and analysis framework. Production Planning & Control, 34(13), 1275-1302.

[2] da Silva, C., Barbosa‐Póvoa, A. P., & Carvalho, A. (2022). Towards sustainable development: Green supply chain design and planning using monetization methods. Business Strategy and the Environment, 31(4), 1369-1394.

[3] Alora, A., & Barua, M. K. (2022). Development of a supply chain risk index for manufacturing supply chains. International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, 71(2), 477-503.

[4] Malik, A., Li, M., Lenzen, M., Fry, J., Liyanapathirana, N., Beyer, K., ... & Prokopenko, M. (2022). Impacts of climate change and extreme weather on food supply chains cascade across sectors and regions in Australia. Nature Food, 3(8), 631-643.

[5] Stokeld, E., Croft, S., dos Reis, T. N., Stringer, L. C., & West, C. (2023). Stakeholder perspectives on cross-border climate risks in the Brazil-Europe soy supply chain. Journal of Cleaner Production, 428, 139292.

[6] Qu, S., She, Y., Zhou, Q., Verschuur, J., Zhao, L. T., Liu, H., ... & Wei, Y. M. (2024). Modeling the dynamic impacts of maritime network blockage on global supply chains. The Innovation, 5(4).

[7] Zhang, X., Bai, S., Goh, M., & Guo, Y. (2024). Climate and geopolitical risk correlations and response decisions for semiconductor global supply chains. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 194, 110358.

[8] Jiskani, I. M., Moreno-Cabezali, B. M., Rehman, A. U., Fernandez-Crehuet, J. M., & Uddin, S. (2022). Implications to secure mineral supply for clean energy technologies for developing countries: A fuzzy based risk analysis for mining projects. Journal of Cleaner Production, 358, 132055.

[9] Zhang, J. (2025). Mitigating climate risk in supply chains: Empirical insights from the bullwhip effect in Chinese enterprises. Economic Analysis and Policy.

[10] Li, J., Feng, Y., Li, G., & Sun, X. (2020). Tourism companies' risk exposures on text disclosure. Annals of tourism research, 84, 102986.