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Academic Journal of Environment & Earth Science, 2025, 7(3); doi: 10.25236/AJEE.2025.070308.

Research on the Resilience Assessment of Urban Infrastructure in Hebei Province Based on Random Forest

Author(s)

Wang Yongxin1, Dong Jiubo1, Li Haijun1

Corresponding Author:
Dong Jiubo
Affiliation(s)

1Institute of Disaster Prevention Science and Technology, Sanhe, Hebei, China

Abstract

Conducting a scientifically rigorous resilience assessment of urban infrastructure is crucial for maintaining the stability of essential urban functions. By analyzing the underlying meaning of urban infrastructure resilience, an evaluation index system was developed, encompassing five key dimensions: transportation, communication, water supply and drainage, sanitation, and energy. Leveraging index data from 2018 to 2022, training and testing datasets were generated using random sampling techniques. The classification model used for assessment was refined through feature selection and parameter optimization processes, and the enhanced model was subsequently applied to evaluate the resilience across the entire study region. The findings indicate the following: (1) The performance of the optimized model has improved across all five metrics, including the F1 score, with all values exceeding 0.94; (2) Upon assessing the resilience of each subsystem, the water supply and drainage resilience exhibited relatively stable trends within a narrow fluctuation range. Communication and energy resilience both demonstrated steady upward trajectories, whereas transportation and sanitation resilience followed a pattern of "decline – recovery – stabilization"; (3) Over the study period, the resilience of urban infrastructure in Hebei Province varied both temporally and spatially. The spatial distribution of the results revealed a pattern characterized by "higher values in central regions and lower values in northern and southern areas," accompanied by localized clustering effects. The overall regional resilience experienced fluctuations but showed improvement, particularly in northwest cities. Areas with fluctuating changes exhibited relatively larger discrepancies in resilience assessment outcomes. These methodologies and findings hold significant implications for the development of resilient cities and the strategic planning of urban infrastructure.

Keywords

Urban Infrastructure; Resilience; Random Forest Classification; Model Optimization; Hebei Province

Cite This Paper

Wang Yongxin, Dong Jiubo, Li Haijun. Research on the Resilience Assessment of Urban Infrastructure in Hebei Province Based on Random Forest. Academic Journal of Environment & Earth Science (2025), Vol. 7, Issue 3: 55-67. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJEE.2025.070308.

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