Welcome to Francis Academic Press

Academic Journal of Humanities & Social Sciences, 2026, 9(7); doi: 10.25236/AJHSS.2026.090707.

Spatial Patterns and Clustering Characteristics of Housing Prices within Kunming’s Second Ring Road at the Residential Community Scale

Author(s)

Jihua Qin

Corresponding Author:
Jihua Qin
Affiliation(s)

Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, Yunnan, China

Abstract

This study examines the spatial distribution and clustering characteristics of housing prices within Kunming’s Second Ring Road using platform-displayed housing price observations for 2,125 residential communities. Most observations were obtained from Anjuke in June 2025, while missing records were manually supplemented from 58.com, Lianjia, and Fang.com between 2025 and 2026. Housing price classification mapping, housing-price-weighted kernel density analysis, Global Moran’s I, and Anselin Local Moran’s I were conducted in ArcGIS Pro. Housing prices were generally higher in the center, with contiguous low- and medium-price areas toward the periphery. Higher-priced communities were concentrated mainly along the Green Lake–Xiaoximen–Nanping Street corridor. The kernel density surface showed a primary central high-value zone and smaller southern and eastern patches. Global Moran’s I was 0.394262, with a Z score of 124.714009 and a P value below 0.001, indicating statistically significant positive spatial autocorrelation. High–high clusters were concentrated within the First Ring Road, whereas low–low clusters were mainly located between the First and Second Ring Roads. High–low and low–high outliers occurred primarily in center–periphery transition areas. Overall, the observed pattern combined broad center–periphery differences with localized spatial heterogeneity.

Keywords

Housing Prices, Spatial Autocorrelation, Kernel Density Analysis, Kunming’s Second Ring Road

Cite This Paper

Jihua Qin. Spatial Patterns and Clustering Characteristics of Housing Prices within Kunming’s Second Ring Road at the Residential Community Scale. Academic Journal of Humanities & Social Sciences (2026), Vol. 9, Issue 7: 50-57. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJHSS.2026.090707.

References

[1] Zhao, S., Zhao, K. and Zhang, P. (2021) Spatial Inequality in China’s Housing Market and the Driving Mechanism. Land, 10(8), 841. doi: 10.3390/land10080841.

[2] Cai, W. and Shen, Z. (2024) Heterogeneity, Differentiation Mechanisms and Social Effects of Urban Residential Space in China’s Large Cities: A Case Study of Wuhan. Land, 13(1), 85. doi: 10.3390/land13010085.

[3] Huang, G., Qiao, S. and Yeh, A.G.O. (2024) Multilevel Effects of Urban Form and Urban Functional Zones on Housing Prices: Evidence from Open-Source Big Data. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 39(2), 987–1011. doi: 10.1007/s10901-023-10109-y.

[4] Chen, Y., Yang, Q., Geng, L. and Yin, W. (2024) Analysis of Factors Influencing Housing Prices in Mountain Cities Based on Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression—Demonstrated in the Central Urban Area of Chongqing. Land, 13(5), 602. doi: 10.3390/land13050602.

[5] Zhan, D., Xie, C., Zhang, J. and Meng, B. (2023) Investigating the Determinants of Housing Rents in Hangzhou, China: A Spatial Multilevel Model Approach. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 16(4), 1707–1727. doi: 10.1007/s12061-023-09530-1.

[6] Zhang, Y. and Buyuklieva, B. (2025) Spatial Cluster Pattern and Influencing Factors of the Housing Market: An Empirical Study from the Chinese City of Shanghai. Buildings, 15(5), 708. doi: 10.3390/buildings15050708.

[7] Vandamme, S., Demuzere, M., Verdonck, M.-L., Zhang, Z. and Van Coillie, F. (2019) Revealing Kunming’s (China) Historical Urban Planning Policies Through Local Climate Zones. Remote Sensing, 11(14), 1731. doi: 10.3390/rs11141731.

[8] Zhao, Z., Xu, Q., Peng, S. and Hong, L. (2020) Analyzing Spatial-Temporal Patterns of House Price Based on Network Big Data in the Main City Zone of Kunming. In: Proceedings of the 2020 Artificial Intelligence and Complex Systems Conference, pp. 5–10. New York: Association for Computing Machinery. doi: 10.1145/3407703.3407706.

[9] Wang, Y., Yue, X., Wu, Y., Zhang, H. and Liu, S. (2023) Spatial Characteristics of the Abandonment Degree of Residential Quarters Based on Data of the Housing Sales Ratio—A Case Study of Kunming, China. Buildings, 13(1), 29. doi: 10.3390/buildings13010029.

[10] Esri. (n.d.) How Kernel Density Works. ArcGIS Pro 3.0 Documentation. Available at: https://pro.arcgis.com/en/pro-app/3.0/tool-reference/spatial-analyst/how-kernel-density-works.htm (accessed September 17, 2026).

[11] Anselin, L. (1995) Local Indicators of Spatial Association—LISA. Geographical Analysis, 27(2), 93–115. doi: 10.1111/j.1538-4632.1995.tb00338.x.