Tian Huimin1, Ni Jingyang2, Qin Tianyu3, Liu Jiaxing2
1 School of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Anhui Bengbu, 233000
2 School of Finance and Public Administration, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Anhui Bengbu, 233000
3 School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Anhui Bengbu, 233000
The development level of a country's foreign transportation will directly affect the scale and circulation efficiency of its import and export commodities. A modern international transportation system will lay a solid foundation for China to enhance its international trade competitiveness. Based on the data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China and the China Communications Yearbook from 1979 to 2016, this paper selects civil aviation international routes, pipeline oil (gas) mileage, coastal construction investment, and transportation fixed asset investment as the influencing factors of China’s total import and export trade. The Almon estimation method constructs the measurement model. The results show that coastal construction investment has the greatest stimulus effect on China's international trade, and the impact of port berths on import and export commodities is lagging. The development of air transportation and pipeline transportation will rapidly promote the expansion of trade in the short term.
China's import and export trade; international transportation; multiple linear regression; lagged variable model
Tian Huimin, Ni Jingyang, Qin Tianyu, Liu Jiaxing. Research on the Impact of International Traffic on China's Import and Export Trade. Academic Journal of Humanities & Social Sciences (2020) Vol. 3, Issue 8: 177-187. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJHSS.2020.030819.
 Jiang Nan. Research on the correlation between China's coastal port construction and national economic development [D]. Dalian Maritime University, 2010.
 Wang Hongwei. Research on the transformation of the development mode of the international transportation industry [J]. Enterprise Vitality, 2011 (05): 27-29.
 Zhang Shangsheng. Research on the Impact of Modern Logistics Industry on China’s Import and Export Trade[J]. China Business Forum, 2018(31): 69-70.
 Cai Weiyi. Structural changes in China's import and export trade and its influencing factors[J]. China Economic Issues, 2018(04): 26-37.
 Gu Xiaoqing. Research and analysis of China's foreign trade import and export[J]. National Circulation Economy, 2019(19): 21-22.
 Xun Ziying, Jiang Shaohua, Cao Zhen, Nie Jing. An Empirical Analysis of the Influencing Factors of China’s Total Trade Import and Export [J]. Journal of Jingdezhen University, 2019, 34(01): 10-15.
 Fan Xiufeng, Yu Shan. "Maritime Silk Road" logistics performance and its impact on China's import and export trade [J]. Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University (Social Science Edition), 2015, 35(03): 13-20.
 Lu Wei, Zhang Yanqing. Research on the relationship between China's import and export trade and international air cargo transportation[J]. China Business, 2014(28): 140-142.
 Freund C,Rocha N. What Constraints Africa Exports[R]. WTO Staff Working Paper, 2010.
 Rodrik D. A.,Subramanian, Trebbi. Institutions Rule:The Primacy of Institutions Over Geography and Integration in Economic Development[J]. Journal of Economic Growth,2004,78(3):131-65.
 Guo Haoran. Research on the Influencing Factors of China's Shipping Service Trade Deficit [D]. Ocean University of China, 2014.
 Wang Ying. Analysis of the economic benefits of large-scale container ships[J]. World Shipping, 2001(02): 37-39.
 Cheng Yingying, Li Rui. Comparative research on maritime service trade in emerging market countries[J]. Business Times, 2011(19): 34-35.
 Li Youjia. International Trade of Pipeline Natural Gas[J]. City Gas, 1997(12): 3-7+10.