Welcome to Francis Academic Press

Academic Journal of Engineering and Technology Science, 2022, 5(4); doi: 10.25236/AJETS.2022.050403.

Research on Prediction Model of Daily Charging Demand Based on WOA-BP

Author(s)

Lin Mei1, Fengdai Kang2

Corresponding Author:
​Lin Mei
Affiliation(s)

1Department of Basic Education, Shandong University of Engineering and Vocational Technology, Jinan, 250200, China

2Department of Liberal Arts (Career-Oriented Multidisciplinary Education Center), Shenzhen Institute of Information Technology, Shenzhen, 518172, China

Abstract

With the rise of new energy vehicles, the coverage of charging piles is becoming more and more extensive, so it is necessary to study the charging demand. In this paper, a charging demand prediction model is constructed by using the BP neural network based on the whale optimization algorithm, and an empirical study is carried out by taking a charging pile in Shanghai as an example. The research results show that the MAPE of the WOA-BP neural network is about 7.65% lower than that of the BP neural network, which shows that WOA-BPNN model is more suitable for the prediction of charging demand and its prediction results can provide a certain decision-making basis for the allocation and deployment of charging piles in the future.

Keywords

WOA-BP neural network; charge amount; prediction

Cite This Paper

Lin Mei, Fengdai Kang. Research on Prediction Model of Daily Charging Demand Based on WOA-BP. Academic Journal of Engineering and Technology Science (2022) Vol. 5, Issue 4: 13-17. https://doi.org/10.25236/AJETS.2022.050403.

References

[1] Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking Before 2030 [N]. People's Daily, 2021-10-27(007). DOI: 10.28655/n.cnki.nrmrb.2021.011296.

[2] Operation of the national electric vehicle charging and swapping infrastructure in 2021 [EB/OL]. China Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Promotion Alliance. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Wkoo-0WdfnbX-0At4LyOxQ, 2022-01-22.

[3] Xin J, Wen Y, Li R. Discussion on forecasting method of electric vehicle charging facility construction demand [J]. Jiangxi Electric Power, 2010, 34(05): 1-5.

[4] Li S, Liu Y, Lv J, et al. Prediction of charging demand based on historical transaction data [J]. Electrical Applications, 2018, 37(19): 86-89.

[5] Zhou Y, Dai J, Yuan H, Lu Y. Research on demand forecast and planning layout of urban electric vehicle charging facilities [J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2021, 49(24): 177-187. DOI: 10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.CDZ001.

[6] Cai S, Research on charging pile data mining and charging capacity prediction algorithm [D]. Dalian University of Technology, 2020. DOI: 10.26991/d.cnki.gdllu.2020.002421. Mirjalili S, Lewis A. The whale optimization algorithm[J]. Advances in engineering software, 2016, 95: 51-67.